I'm more inclined to believe the first half there, not only because it sounds much more preferable but when economies recover these parties often disappear, not to mention people soon tire of the novelty of supporting such a party once they realise what a bunch of idiots they are. I do feel ukip are soon to go back under their rock and we'll go back to forgetting them again.
I do find it annoying, and unfair, that the media are all over them for actually gaining a seat that would have been won by Carswell anyway, so hardly a ukip victory, when other parties with less members have had MP's for years. But then that's the bias of british media I suppose.
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