"Huh? There's a 50/50 chance that itsnowed in the Sahara today, because it either did or it didn't?"
No but no but.... fifty fifty looks silly in that case because we are drawing upon our knowledge of the climate of the Sahara. The same with my hat, you are bringing in knowledge of hat wearing habits.
But if you have zero knowledge to draw upon - is a non-fashion conscious eccentric wearing a hat, will it rain today in an unnamed town, is there a God.... what then?
Anyhow, I'm still waiting to hear more about what I don't know about statistics rather than having been left with a bit of a put-down and nothing else.
|