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Dawkins seems a bit *confused* here
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Re: Dawkins seems a bit *confused* here
Jun 30, 2009, 22:06
nigelswift wrote:
What are the chances I am wearing a hat?


if it had been 70 years ago, and if it were perhaps 4.30 in the evening, and you were living in England, I'd say the statistical likelyhood that you were wearing a hat would be considerably more than 50%.

In the britain of 2009, when very few people habitually wear hats, I'd say it's very unlikely. Certainly less than 50%.

See, Dawkins doesn't say there's no God. He says that the likelyhood, based upon observation and logic, of there being a God is miniscule.

Your argument seems to be that you can reduce anything to a yes or no state, and that both of those states is equally likely.

Huh? There's a 50/50 chance that itsnowed in the Sahara today, because it either did or it didn't?
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